Rugby World Cup
Preview: Wales vs Fiji - Warren Gatland's side to defy injury crisis again
Rob Bartlett
September 30, 2015
Wales prepare for Fiji test

Wales will not lie down. Their epic victory over England last weekend was marred by the loss of both centre Scott Williams and wing Hallam Amos - neither will play again in this World Cup - taking their injury tally to six players. However, the knowledge that victory against Fiji in Cardiff will put them on the verge of the quarterfinal place will further galvanise Warren Gatland's squad. John McKee's side will be no pushovers, though, as they must win at the Millennium Stadium to stay in the tournament. Expect a few fireworks in Wales on Thursday evening.

Team news

Gatland has been forced to make three changes to the XV that beat England last Saturday. Matthew Morgan, Alex Cuthbert and Tyler Morgan have all been named in the starting line-up, although the pack remains unchanged.

John McKee has also had to make six changes due to injuries and suspension. Nemani Nadolo is serving a two-week ban after he was adjudged to have committed an act of foul play during Fiji's defeat to Australia last Sunday. Scrum-half Niko Matawalu has been ruled out due to injury.

Wales: Matthew Morgan, Alex Cuthbert, Tyler Morgan, Jamie Roberts, George North, Dan Biggar, Gareth Davies, Gethin Jenkins, Scott Baldwin, Tomas Francis, Bradley Davies, Alun Wyn Jones, Dan Lydiate, Sam Warburton (captain), Taulupe Faletau

Replacements: Ken Owens, Aaron Jarvis, Samson Lee, Luke Charteris, Justin Tipuric, Lloyd Williams, Rhys Priestland, James Hook

Fiji: Metuisela Talebula, Timoci Nagusa, Vereniki Goneva, Lepani Botia, Aseli Tikoirotuma, Ben Volavola, Nemia Kenatale; Campese Ma'afu, Sunia Koto, Manasa Saulo, Tevita Cavubati, Leone Nakarawa, Dominiko Waqaniburotu, Akapusi Qera (captain), Netani Talei, Nemia Kenatale.

Replacements: Viliame Veikoso, Peni Ravia, Leeroy Atalifo, Nemia Soqeta, Malakai Ravulo, Henry Seniloli, Joshua Matavesi, Kini Murimurivalu

Key head-to-head

The Fijians' indiscipline has cost them so far in Pool A. Dominiko Waqaniburotu missed the defeat by Australia after being cited for a tip tackle on England's Jonny May, and McKee has seen three of his players sin-binned in their opening two matches. There is no doubt that Fiji are throwing their weight about and trying to upset their group rivals - and the battle of the packs will go down to the wire. Tomas Francis and Campese Ma'afu looks an intriguing battle.

Key stats

*In the 10 Test matches recognised by both teams, Wales have won eight times with one Fiji victory and one draw.

*The draw came in 2010 when the nations played out a 16-16 stalemate, also at Cardiff's Millennium Stadium. Wales' World Cup record there remains four wins and three defeats.

*Fiji must beat Wales if they are to remain in the tournament. Wales cannot mathematically qualify for the last eight on Thursday night and must wait for the result between England and Australia on Saturday.

Odds

Unibet have Wales as strong odds-on favourites to win the match at 1/7, so value can once again be sought in the company's player specials. George North is yet to make a real mark on the tournament, so odds of him to score a double against the Pacific Islanders look tasty at 5/1. Given Fiji's discipline issues, 12/1 for a red card during the match also looks a decent bet.

Weather

It won't really matter with the Millennium Stadium's roof closed, but a small chance of rain early on Thursday morning could provide a little bit of grease on the playing surface. Temperatures will steadily drop from around 18C when play kicks off at 4.45pm.

Prediction

Wales have already shown they won't be rocked by their injury crisis. Fiji, on the other hand, are missing two big personalities in Nadolo and Matawalu. Gatland's side should have enough quality to finish the job, but don't be surprised if Fiji put up a fight. Wales to win by 10-15 points.

© ESPN Sports Media Ltd.

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