• US Open, Round Two

Stats say Tiger has 89% chance of victory

ESPN staff
June 15, 2012

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2012 US Open Leaderboard

The Beau-tiful one
All the talk before the tournament was the debut of 14-year-old Andy Zhang - the youngest ever to play at the US Open. But how about 17-year-old amateur Beau Hossler? Far from content to simply be in the field this week, the high school student only went and led the tournament on his own at one stage. Remarkable golf from the young man.

Bubba-ring idiot
Fresh off winning the Masters at Augusta National, Bubba Watson never really looked in danger of making the cut here at the US Open - putting on a bit of a Harlem Globetrotters-esque show as he delighted the crowd with big hitting that really only served to get him in deeper trouble.

He finished nine-over despite a second round 71 - missing the cut by one. He did, however, hit driver-driver at the 670-yard par-five and nearly reached the green in two (before making par). That was fun. Utterly futile, of course, but still fun.

Are you sure those world rankings are correct?!
Between 1995 and 2010, the world No. 1 and No. 2 never both missed a cut at a major championship. Admittedly for much of that time that was because Tiger Woods was the world No. 1 and he never missed the weekend's action, but nevertheless that remains an interesting statistic. Since 2011, however, twice the top two ranked players in the world have missed the cut at a major - at last year's Open Championship (Luke Donald, Lee Westwood) and now this week (Donald, Rory McIlroy).

No return of the Mc-Ilroy
McIlroy, it must be said, had a chance to make the cut if he could only hole his 20-footer for birdie at his final hole of the day. Instead he missed the putt and whiffed the tap-in for par - extinguishing his chances all by himself. Hardly the sort of performance you would expect of the defending champion.

He was hardly the same player, however - a year ago McIlroy missed 10 greens in regulations across 72 holes, this time around he missed 17 of 26.

Fact attack
Tiger Woods has won eight of the nine majors where he has hold or shared the 36-hole lead. By our completely scientific calculations, that means he has an 89% chance of victory on Sunday…

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