New Zealand to win...or maybe not
Hugh Godwin
September 27, 2007
Of course we know who is going to win this World Cup, it's New Zealand at a canter - or is it? Hugh Godwin takes a semi-serious look at their possible downfall.
1 - Hot couture.
ON THE OTHER HAND...
2 - The identity card. New Zealand? Don't make me laugh. They have even removed the name of the country from their jerseys, preferring to bear the all-consuming brand 'All Blacks' on their left breast.
3 - And while we're on the subject... Exactly, and that's why so many of them can't wait to get the World Cup over and done with before they jump on the first gravy train out of there. Luke McAlister (he's ancient at 24) to Sale, Aaron Mauger (26) to Leicester, Doug Howlett (29) to Munster and so on and so on. "It's too intense being an All Black," says Mauger. Well, boo hoo.
4 - Quality at No.10. And what happens when Dan the Man gets injured? We all thought Carlos Spencer was pretty good but it went wrong for him in the 2003 semi-final. Nick Evans would be Carter's replacement so the ABs had better hope the Otago man is made of the right stuff if it ever comes to pass.
5 - Richard the First. See Carter above. A hamstring tweak here or a pulled eyebrow there and McCaw could be out faster than an England tailender. Then what? Chris Masoe? Loads of muscle but he doesn't possess 50 per cent of McCaw's natural talent at the breakdown.
6 - The line-out. Now consider what France might do if they meet New Zealand in the quarter-finals or final. The French rattled Ireland - Paul O'Connell et al - so much in the line-out in the pool match at Stade de France that the Irish lost 25 per cent of their ball. You might be hard pressed to remember it but the Italians also got the odd nudge on at the scrum in the All Blacks' first match. Which brings us neatly to...
7 - Tales of the unexpected. Yep, that'll be those moments when France let rip, run in a try from 100 metres and you're left standing under the posts with the words "still no win since 1987" scorching through your brain. And don't forget that your quarter-final is in Cardiff, where you couldn't be bothered to do the haka last year, so they will probably flash replays up of France trouncing you at Twickenham in 1999 on the big screen by way of a handy reminder.
8 - Trust in the brains trust. But they can't kick a ball, deliver a pass or push in the scrum. They're so used to winning, will they know what to say at half-time when the manure hits the air conditioning? Henry had a series-winning position in his hands with the Lions on the 2001 tour of Australia but let it slip when inspiration was notably lacking. Okay, so it could have something to do with him being a Kiwi with all those British and Irish players...
9 - The form guide. Let's look a bit closer, shall we? Ah yes, those five losses were all to South Africa and Australia, the two teams which the bookmakers suggest are most likely to stand in the All Blacks' way in the semi-final and final. That record doesn't look so smart now, does it?
10 - The All Blacks deserve to win it, so good on them. Yeah, but life's a bitch, isn't it? |
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