• UFC Live 5

Hardy fails to make weight, but recovers in time

ESPN staff
August 14, 2011
Dan Hardy sees UFC Live as a career-defining moment © Getty Images

Dan Hardy tipped the scales at 171.5lbs, marginally over the legal 171lb limit ahead of the UFC Live main event on Sunday. However, he made weight successfully at the second attempt, so everything's on in Milwaukee...

Dan Hardy v Chris Lytle

Where the fight could be won or lost: The first reaction is, "If Lytle stands the whole 15 minutes, Dan Hardy will win." The Brit is technically sound, he'll have a six-inch reach advantage and he's quicker. But Lytle's brawling stand-up is actually a bad matchup for Hardy. He does well when opponents let him set up his range, but he's far less dominant when he's pressured.

Hardy is better in terms of footwork, but he's often guilty of not moving his head, which leads to getting tagged. If he focuses on that, he'll prove difficult to hit, as Lytle is known for loading up on his punches and throwing wide. But if he doesn't, Lytle will land more than you think. Of course, there's always the possibility Lytle tries to go to the ground during the fight, an area Hardy will be susceptible to until proven otherwise.

The pick: Dan Hardy - Unanimous decision

Jim Miller has an excellent submissions game © Getty Images

Jim Miller v Ben Henderson

Where the fight could be won or lost: Two very well-rounded southpaws who are difficult to prepare for and always come to fight in phenomenal shape. Jim Miller is extremely confident, riding a seven-fight win streak. He mixes up his stand-up enough and seems virtually impossible to hurt with how well he defends himself. His greatest threat is his grappling. If he gets in top position, he can be a nightmare.

If there's a particular finish to look out for in this fight, it's the guillotine from Ben Henderson. He has a lethal one, and Miller, although never submitted in his career, leaves his neck out from time to time during takedowns. The big problem for Henderson with the guillotine, though, is that if he misses it, he's on his back. And he can't afford to spend long periods of time there.

The pick: Jim Miller - Submission

Donald Cerrone is an excellent kickboxer © Getty Images

Donald Cerrone v Charles Oliveira

Where the fight could be won or lost: This will be a fun battle between two high-pace fighters. Charles Oliveira is awesome. An illegal knee against Nik Lentz took away from what was really another impressive showing against strong competition. His striking is flashy, which overshadows that, more importantly, it's very accurate. He doesn't waste punches, even though he throws a fairly high volume. He's slick on the ground.

Donald Cerrone is similar. Few are as good at targeting the legs and body with kicks. He'll have a strength and size advantage against Oliveira, who could easily be fighting at 145 pounds. Cerrone was notorious in the WEC for starting slow and, occasionally, not really starting at all. But so far in the UFC, he's been nothing short of outstanding.

The pick: Donald Cerrone - Unanimous decision

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